Conversation 851-004

TapeTape 851StartTuesday, February 6, 1973 at 5:11 PMEndTuesday, February 6, 1973 at 6:10 PMParticipantsNixon, Richard M. (President);  Burns, Arthur F.;  Shultz, George P.;  Bull, Stephen B.Recording deviceOval Office

On February 6, 1973, President Richard M. Nixon, Arthur F. Burns, George P. Shultz, and Stephen B. Bull met in the Oval Office of the White House from 5:11 pm to 6:10 pm. The Oval Office taping system captured this recording, which is known as Conversation 851-004 of the White House Tapes.

Conversation No. 851-4

Date: February 6, 1973
Time: 5:11 pm-6:10 pm
Location: Oval Office

The President met with Arthur F. Burns and George P. Shultz.

       Greetings

       Trade policy
              -President’s meeting with Edward R. G. Heath
              -Heath
                     -Negotiations with Europe
                             -Cooperation
                                     -Agriculture products
                                     -Monetary situation
                     -European attitudes
                             -Negative
                             -Heath’s role
                     -Shultz
                     -Role
                             -Change European attitudes
                                     -Perfectionism
                     -Reaction to US position
                             -Sympathy
                     -Anthony P. L. Barber
                     -Support in Parliament
                     -Sir Douglas Allen
                             -International monetary situation
                                                -9-

                   NIXON PRESIDENTIAL LIBRARY AND MUSEUM

                                      Tape Subject Log
                                       (rev. Mar.-09)
                                                            Conversation No. 851-4 (cont’d)




       Prime interest rates
              -Discount rate
              -Banks
              -Testimony to Congress
                      -Questions on Phase III

       Senate Banking Committee testimony
              -Burns
                      -Attention
              -Questions
              -William McChesney Martin, Jr.
                      -Phase III
                      -Inflation
              -Wilbur D. Mills
              -Compared to previous testimony
              -Burns's statement
                      -Phase III
                              -Support
              -Questions
                      -Responses
              -Support in government
                      -Violations
              -       -Support from President
              -John T. Dunlop’s swearing-in
              -Interest rates
                      -Questions
                      -Burns’s statement
              -Shultz’s testimony
                      -William Proxmire
                              -Committee seats

Stephen B. Bull entered at an unknown time after 5:11 pm.

       Message to Ronald L. Ziegler
             -Burns's testimony
                                               -10-

                   NIXON PRESIDENTIAL LIBRARY AND MUSEUM

                                      Tape Subject Log
                                       (rev. Mar.-09)
                                                         Conversation No. 851-4 (cont’d)




Bull left at an unknown time before 6:11 pm.

       Interest rates
               -Rise
               -Money supply
                      -End of fast growth
               -Nervousness
               -Martin
                      -Policies
               -Burns’s goals
                      -Avoidance of recession
                      -Tightening money supply
                              -Impact
                              -Complaints
                              -Duration
                              -Start date
                              -Treasury Department [?]
                      -Money supply
                              -Growth
                                      -Control
                      -Sustained prosperity
                              -Elections

       Burns’s possible trip to Japan
              -Foreign Exchange problem
              -Shultz
                      -Plans
                      -Discussions
                              -Kakeui Tanaka
                              -Tadashi Sasaki [?]
                                      -Central Bank
              -Timing
              -Henry A. Kissinger
                      -Meeting with Tanaka
                              -Timing
                                              -11-

                   NIXON PRESIDENTIAL LIBRARY AND MUSEUM

                                      Tape Subject Log
                                       (rev. Mar.-09)
                                                                Conversation No. 851-4 (cont’d)




       Foreign Exchange crisis
              -Outflow of dollars
                      -Germany
                      -Acceleration
              -Administration’s actions
                      -Meetings of economic advisors
                              -Burns’s involvement
                              -Herbert Stein, Paul A. Volcker, Shultz, William P. Rogers,
William J. Casey, Peter M. Flanigan
                              -Agreement on problems
                                      -“Speculative fury”
              -Trade deficit
                      -Size
                      -Balance of payments
                      -Corrective measures
                      -Smithsonian agreement
                              -Effect
                              -Offsets
                              -Deterioration
                                      -Great Britain’s exchange rate
                      -Solutions
                              -Devaluation
                                      -Percentage
                              -Revaluation by Japan
                                      -Percentage
                              -Europe
                              -Persuasion
                              -Efficacy of measures
                                      -Compared to changing exchange rates
                      -Trade legislation
                              -President’s authority to negotiate
                              -Expansion of world trade
                              -Provisions
                                      -Protection of businesses
                                      -Balance of payments surcharge
                                     -12-

           NIXON PRESIDENTIAL LIBRARY AND MUSEUM

                              Tape Subject Log
                               (rev. Mar.-09)
                                                        Conversation No. 851-4 (cont’d)



                             -Impact on Japan
       -Trade package
       -Consultation with Congress, Labor, Business
               -Announcement
       -Gold market
               -Impact of moves by the administration
                       -Volcker
               -US actions on price of gold
               -Private market
               -International agreements
                       -Private market position
                               -Publicity
                       -Increase in price
               -Private sales of gold
                       -Republican platform
                       -Serbian community [?] in US
       -Capital control program
               -President’s promise
               -Equilibrium
               -Domestic programs
                       -Phase out
       -Consistency of international monetary plans
               -Deficits
               -Surpluses
                       -Japan
       -Crisis
               -Recurrence
       -Japan
               -Agreement on revaluation
               -Legislation
                       -Surcharge
               -Appeal to Europe
                       -Timing
                       -Leaks

Congressional leaders
                                     -13-

           NIXON PRESIDENTIAL LIBRARY AND MUSEUM

                              Tape Subject Log
                               (rev. Mar.-09)
                                                       Conversation No. 851-4 (cont’d)



       -Leaders’ schedules
       -Shultz’s statement
       -President’s decision
       -Negotiations with trade partners
       -Trade legislation
              -Exchange rate realignment
              -Gold

Wage and price controls
      -Burns’s view
             -Phasing out
             -Gold purchases by private citizens
                     -Imports
                            -Effect on balance of payments

International monetary situation
        -Gold
               -Central banks
                      -Powers
               -Devaluation
                      -Percentage
                      -Japan
                      -Dollar value
                              -Exchange rate
                              -Floating dollar
                              -Smithsonian Agreement
                              -Trade
                              -Great Britain
        -Exchange rates
               -Changes
                      -“Economic belligerency”
               -Devaluation
                      -Percentage
                      -Public perception
                              -Understanding
                      -US position in world markets
                                      -14-

            NIXON PRESIDENTIAL LIBRARY AND MUSEUM

                               Tape Subject Log
                                (rev. Mar.-09)
                                                        Conversation No. 851-4 (cont’d)



       -Trade package
              -Protectionism
                      -Dangers
              -Encouragement to foreign nations
       -President’s speech at International Monetary Fund [IMF]

Inflation
        -International trade
                -US position
        -Price stability in US
        -Announcement
        -Determination to curb
        -Congress
        -Large films, unions
                -Changes in wages and prices
                        -Announcement
        -Congress
                -Laws on reporting wage and price changes
                        -Testimony
                        -Paperwork
        -Business overdependence on government

International monetary situation
        -Speech
        -Criticism
                -Repetition of plans
        -Trade
                -Authority to negotiate
                       -Imports
                       -Compared to surcharges
                               -Removal
                               -Rate change
                               -Agreements
        -Recurrent crises
        -Administration’s actions on balance of trade, payments
        -Trade
                                      -15-

            NIXON PRESIDENTIAL LIBRARY AND MUSEUM

                               Tape Subject Log
                                (rev. Mar.-09)
                                                       Conversation No. 851-4 (cont’d)



              -Burns’s view
       -Monetary reform
              -Pace
                     -Crisis
              -William D. Eberle
       -Defense
              -Summit talks
                     -Preparation
                     -Negotiations
                     -Japan, Italy, France, Germany, Great Britain, US
                     -Big Four
       -Smithsonian Conference
              -Meeting with Georges J. R. Pompidou
                     -Accomplishments
       -US position
              -Global security

Devaluation
      -Percentage
      -Japan
      -Legislation on surcharge
             -Safeguards on flooding
      -Congressional relations
             -Consulting
             -Trade
      -Handling
             -Dealings with Japan
                     -Ambassadors
                     -Volcker
                     -Finance minister
                     -Tanaka
                     -Draft letter to Tanaka
             -Great Britain, Germany
             -Timing
                     -Delay
             -Politics
                                             -16-

                   NIXON PRESIDENTIAL LIBRARY AND MUSEUM

                                      Tape Subject Log
                                       (rev. Mar.-09)
                                                               Conversation No. 851-4 (cont’d)



                              -France
                              -Great Britain
                              -Japan
              -President’s statement
                     -California
                     -Kissinger
                     -Preparation
                     -Timing
                     -Monetary move
                              -Trade
                                     -Recklessness
                                     -Crisis
                                     -Timing
                              -US advantages
                     -Trade
                              -George Meany
                                     -Telephone call to Shultz
                              -Congressional relations
                                     -Discussions
                                     -Mills
                                             -Meetings with President
                                             -Tax problems

       President’s schedule
              -Meeting with Mills
                      -Shultz’s testimony
                      -Tax policy meeting

Bull entered at an unknown time after 5:11 pm.

              -Tax policy meeting with Shultz, Ehrlichman
                     -Mills’s meeting
                             -Shultz
                             -Length
                             -Time
                     -Swearing-in ceremony for John T. Dunlop
                                                 -17-

                    NIXON PRESIDENTIAL LIBRARY AND MUSEUM

                                           Tape Subject Log
                                            (rev. Mar.-09)
                                                               Conversation No. 851-4 (cont’d)



                         -Time
                             -Mills
                             -Length of meeting
                      -Ehrlichman
               -National Security Council [NSC] reading material
                      -[Hussein, King of Jordan] Hussein ibn Talal

Bull left at an unknown time before 6:03 pm.

       Burns
               -Monetary problems
               -Health
                       -Weight
               -State dinner invitations
                       -Health

Burns left at 6:03 pm.

       Railroad subsidy
              -Union trustees
              -Amount
              -Administration’s support
                      -Interstate Commerce Commission [ICC]
                      -Legislation
                      -Federal railway administrator
                      -Impact on trustees
                      -Waste
                      -Union
                              -Bailout
              -Threat of bankruptcy
                      -Judge’s decision on sale of property
                              -Operating at a loss
                              -ICC
              -Strike
                      -Impact
                              -Resources
                                                  -18-

                    NIXON PRESIDENTIAL LIBRARY AND MUSEUM

                                          Tape Subject Log
                                           (rev. Mar.-09)
                                                             Conversation No. 851-4 (cont’d)



                                 -Railroad
               -Debts
               -ICC
                          -Deregulation legislation

       President’s meeting with Mills
              -Ehrlichman
              -Trade
              -Health legislation
              -Taxes
                     -Hearings
                     -Administration’s tax plan
                             -Meeting with Shultz and Ehrlichman
                             -Russell B. Long

       Shultz’s testimony

Shultz left at 6:10 pm.